Our best betting pick from the NCAA Tournament for Friday comes from the Sweet 16 as the Indiana Hoosiers out of the Big Ten conference will clash with the Kentucky Wildcats out of the SEC conference. The Hoosiers and Wildcats will tip it off from the Georgia Dome in Atlanta at 9:45PM Eastern Time and its CBS providing the live national television coverage. With our college basketball best bet today we will play on the Indiana Hoosiers +9 ½ points against the Kentucky Wildcats. The odds from our college basketball pick were pulled from Just Bet sportsbook.
The betting odds opened up in this NCAA Tournament game with the number one seeded Kentucky Wildcats favored by -8 points with an over under of 144 ½ points. The early money from the betting public has steamed on the Wildcats as Kentucky has been bet up to the -9 ½ point favorite. The over under in this game has moved down a bit to a current total of 144 points. If you bet the favored Kentucky Wildcats on the money line your return – 540 odds. Those who believe the underdog Indiana Hoosiers can win this Sweet battle straight up your return is +460 odds.
There is a lot of talk about Kentucky revenge in this game. The Indiana Hoosiers earned the buzzer beating 73-72 home win against the Wildcats back on December 11th as a +5 ½ point underdog. Kentucky actually shot well than Indiana by a 55.6% to 43.1% margin. Difference in the game is that Indiana made 9 of 15 of their three point shots while Kentucky struggled at the free throw line with 7 misses in 17 shots. It’s hard to believe that Kentucky can replicate that type of shooting performance tonight and when you look at the shooting percentage for Indiana there is room for improvement from that 43.1% performance. Indiana has shot extremely well at the NCAA Tournament hitting on 59.3% of their shots against New Mexico St and 52.2% against a very good defensive team in Virginia Commonwealth in the Round of 32. You go back to the Big Ten conference tournament and you see Indiana make 49% against Wisconsin. Indiana has shot no worse than 44.4% from the three point line in their past seven games. The Hoosiers great shooting gives them a chance even at an outright win tonight as we see that Kentucky is not invincible as Vanderbilt beat them in the SEC conference tournament final.
I don’t believe the revenge factor works at the NCAA Tournament because of the one and done format places pressure on both teams to win. In fact in this scenario I like the chances better for the Indiana team who scored the upset win this season to not fear Kentucky and to enter this game tonight at the Georgia Dome with confidence. This young Kentucky team knowing they were victimize by a buzzer beater by Indiana may approach this game with a bit of concern and with concern for these young players it could bring a bit of nerves and tension which impacts their shooting and play on the court. Indiana is the right side taking all those points at the best sportsbooks.